What is Implied Probability?
The chance suggested by a contract price, such as a Yes share at 0.60 reading as about 60 percent.
$0.60 → 60% chance
Implied probability comes from…
Write it in your own words in the app.
In real work
Report implied probability to the product team, not just last trade size.
In the illustration
The needle stops at $0.60 and the outer ring reads 60%.
Convert every price in my watchlist in your market app to an implied probability, and flag any market where Yes plus No is more than 102 percent.
Try it now
The fastest way to learn a word is to use it. Open this line in the agent you already work in and watch what it does. Change the tool to the one you use.
Go further
01Practice
Make it stick
One term a day, a short quiz, and sentence practice that checks your own words.
02Verify
Prove you know it
Pass the quiz and keep it in a Skills Wallet you can share with anyone who needs proof.
03Career
Find the work that uses it
See which roles lean on this vocabulary, and what they pay in year one.
More in Prediction Markets
All terms →
Learn the next term tomorrow.
Google gives a definition. Prompthaus pairs each term with how it shows up in standups, PRs, prompts, and design reviews. Then it quizzes you until the word sticks. One term a day on iPhone.
